Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.038443 0.045009 0.052246 0.060798 0.070611 0.081503 0.094492
2025-04-13 0.027378 0.035584 0.045496 0.058288 0.074291 0.093576 0.118495
2025-04-20 0.022074 0.031413 0.043619 0.060592 0.083413 0.112836 0.153414
2025-04-27 0.018168 0.028041 0.041879 0.062424 0.091823 0.131980 0.190493
2025-05-04 0.014335 0.023878 0.038155 0.060669 0.094764 0.143823 0.218902
2025-05-11 0.011743 0.020977 0.035636 0.060041 0.098918 0.157482 0.251041
2025-05-18 0.009515 0.018173 0.032712 0.058186 0.100720 0.167563 0.278634
2025-05-25 0.007862 0.015994 0.030391 0.056838 0.102950 0.178272 0.307974
2025-06-01 0.006771 0.014601 0.029152 0.057058 0.107655 0.193213 0.345294
2025-06-08 0.005660 0.012939 0.027133 0.055541 0.109056 0.202651 0.374207
2025-06-15 0.005227 0.012559 0.027455 0.058356 0.118463 0.226572 0.429834
2025-06-22 0.004568 0.011566 0.026402 0.058345 0.122561 0.241421 0.470754
2025-06-29 0.003852 0.010319 0.024667 0.056803 0.123693 0.251277 0.504178
2025-07-06 0.003285 0.009299 0.023249 0.055709 0.125570 0.262697 0.541578
2025-07-13 0.003073 0.009111 0.023651 0.058576 0.135849 0.291150 0.613707
2025-07-20 0.002832 0.008799 0.023713 0.060687 0.144762 0.317708 0.684398
2025-07-27 0.002417 0.007921 0.022271 0.059137 0.145569 0.328026 0.723828
2025-08-03 0.002113 0.007287 0.021322 0.058602 0.148533 0.342986 0.773809
2025-08-10 0.001799 0.006541 0.019953 0.056826 0.148424 0.351413 0.810938
2025-08-17 0.001550 0.005934 0.018840 0.055524 0.149245 0.361853 0.853079
2025-08-24 0.001388 0.005572 0.018344 0.055749 0.153743 0.380723 0.914749
2025-08-31 0.001194 0.005044 0.017274 0.054268 0.153838 0.389677 0.955385
2025-09-07 0.001144 0.005023 0.017712 0.057026 0.164969 0.424861 1.057155